Canada’s LNG Mirage: Why Most Tasks Gained’t Be Constructed and Taxpayers Gained’t See the Payoff – CleanTechnica

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Canada is planning LNG export infrastructure as if world gasoline demand development will persist for many years, however the vitality system is transferring in a special path. Underneath circumstances of sustained LNG oversupply, fast world deployment of photo voltaic and batteries, and rising financing prices for fossil infrastructure, most proposed Canadian LNG capability is not going to be constructed. Some of what’s constructed will nonetheless grow to be stranded. Public cash already dedicated is not going to generate the financial returns politicians are promising, as a result of the underlying demand assumptions now not maintain.

This evaluation rests on a set of assumptions which can be more and more arduous to dismiss. World LNG markets are oversupplied at the moment and stay oversupplied by means of the late 2020s based mostly on tasks already below building. By 2026 and 2027, proof of structural LNG demand decline in Asia turns into clear, not due to recession however as a result of electrical energy programs are altering. Photo voltaic technology, paired with batteries, is increasing quicker than forecast in most areas. This mixture displaces gasoline straight in energy technology and not directly in trade by reducing wholesale electrical energy costs. By the early 2030s, LNG demand in Asia is now not rising and is as a substitute contracting. On the similar time, financiers are…

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Author : tech365

Publish date : 2026-01-10 20:52:00

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