Recent developments have revealed a marked downturn in diplomatic engagement between Moscow and Baku, signaling increasing strain in a relationship once characterized by pragmatic cooperation. Diverging interests over regional conflicts, energy policies, and military presence in the South Caucasus have exacerbated existing rifts. Notably, Russia’s reluctance to endorse Azerbaijan’s aspirations in Nagorno-Karabakh has fueled diplomatic friction, prompting Azerbaijan to explore alternative alliances and recalibrate its foreign policy priorities.

The breakdown in dialogue has also manifested in economic repercussions and security challenges. Key points of contention include:

  • Energy transit disputes: Competing pipeline routes have sparked tensions over market access and pricing structures.
  • Military cooperation freeze: Suspension of joint exercises signals diminished strategic…