Predicting overs and unders for the 2026 Chiefs’ protection

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Final 12 months, we crunched the numbers and tried to foretell the overs and unders for the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs’ protection. And to say that we had been off in our predictions could be placing it mildly.

As an example, in 2025, we had been bullish on the cross rush and set the workforce’s sack whole at 49, regardless of the Chiefs coming off a 2024 season through which they generated solely 39 sacks. As an alternative of taking the massive step ahead we anticipated, Kansas Metropolis’s cross rush took one other step again, securing simply 33 sacks in 2025.

The truth is, the one line the Chiefs exceeded expectations on was the metric that truly issues on the finish of the day — factors allowed per sport. We set the road at 20 factors per sport, and the Chiefs got here in below at 19.3.

Final season, we did our greatest to floor our predictions in historic knowledge, however the consequence was lower than correct, so this 12 months I’m following a stronger metric: my intestine and the workforce’s vibe.

So let’s dive in and see the place we land on how the protection will do that 12 months.

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI – NOVEMBER 20: Chris Jones #95 of the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs runs on the sphere throughout pregame introductions previous to the sport towards the Philadelphia Eagles at GEHA Subject at Arrowhead Stadium on November 20, 2023 in Kansas Metropolis, Missouri. (Picture by David Eulitt/Getty Pictures) Getty Pictures

Chris Jones led the workforce in…

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Author : usa-foot

Publish date : 2026-05-24 21:15:00

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