Trump’s US-Iran ceasefire deal is a expensive go back to prewar prerequisites – and resolving nuclear questions will run into the ‘indivisibility problem’

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Shehbaz Sharif, the high minister of Pakistan, which served as the important thing negotiator between the U.S. and Iran, introduced on June 14, 2026, that the 2 aspects had agreed on a deal to finish the warfare. It is going to be formally signed on June 19 in Switzerland.

President Donald Trump introduced it on Reality Social as a triumph, claiming that the Strait of Hormuz is open for everybody, the U.S. blockade has been lifted, and the oil is flowing once more. What Trump didn’t point out used to be Iran’s nuclear program and what occurs to its enriched uranium stockpile, some of the major causes cited for beginning the warfare.

The nuclear factor – in conjunction with core problems reminiscent of ballistic missiles and Iran’s proxies – has been deferred for 60 days.

This raises two necessary questions: What used to be the warfare in truth for? And what did the U.S. reach?

As a world and nuclear safety professional, I imagine the solution is not anything – and within the procedure the U.S. misplaced credibility as a negotiating spouse.

Why the nuclear query is the toughest

The “rationalist theory of war,” as advanced by way of political scientist James Fearon in 1995, identifies 3 issues that force states to warfare after they would favor to succeed in a deal: incomplete details about every different’s get to the bottom of; the lack to credibly promise a deal or dedication; and what world family members students name the indivisibility drawback…

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Author : bq3anews

Publish date : 2026-06-15 23:15:00

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